Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2555.356875 2770.683623 2989.456408 3228.058530 3480.645361 3739.764848 4025.365053
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2217.192386 2537.259646 2875.211451 3257.436399 3676.503244 4120.785450 4626.192048
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1981.972823 2362.096041 2775.120592 3254.779821 3793.990314 4378.951066 5058.993410
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1841.682112 2270.162330 2746.824250 3312.364166 3960.905754 4677.295680 5524.252511
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1681.481655 2139.271437 2659.816209 3289.660977 4025.077002 4850.649529 5841.307086
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1598.186328 2089.438611 2658.591662 3358.754562 4188.658601 5132.803265 6279.605202
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1500.365311 2014.232964 2620.459928 3378.128779 4289.053240 5338.393687 6627.457918
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1405.848034 1936.295027 2573.044196 3380.907239 4365.244992 5512.426036 6936.489518
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1271.805178 1801.029943 2448.314002 3282.800034 4314.018368 5530.559220 7057.206437
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1246.453386 1801.711169 2490.225396 3388.252428 4509.320584 5843.418656 7530.544805
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1206.778257 1781.004456 2502.963540 3455.627078 4656.949374 6098.874176 7936.200034
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1140.831562 1721.997085 2463.649256 3454.519678 4717.432245 6247.036202 8211.570470
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1062.563182 1643.776012 2397.585464 3418.233143 4734.003005 6342.955537 8426.706765
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1016.648897 1607.345981 2384.438294 3448.928218 4834.809315 6543.496999 8772.247343
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 961.399087 1554.963498 2347.463506 3446.155299 4891.056569 6687.475033 9047.614364
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 933.500852 1539.490132 2358.819006 3506.251532 5028.049093 6933.300036 9451.432368
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 877.617194 1481.056722 2309.115257 3482.559345 5054.184324 7037.706353 9677.357050
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 858.616279 1475.149638 2330.914239 3554.657443 5205.932451 7302.719097 10107.600013
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 823.490422 1443.612312 2315.473104 3574.871307 5288.358432 7478.796515 10425.664503
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 784.961620 1405.062056 2288.476181 3577.770080 5346.701362 7623.393535 10703.863605
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 716.340564 1317.237944 2187.923014 3475.399185 5260.650615 7577.995522 10735.970182
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 715.278524 1334.067975 2238.667744 3585.433210 5463.145839 7911.203210 11259.545394
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 702.687875 1332.018293 2261.374558 3655.716088 5611.803581 8174.625314 11694.358385